According to the latest 2024 Global Risks Report published by the World Economic Forum, polarization and misinformation rank among the top three short- and long-term risks threatening governance, fragmenting cooperation networks, and potentially sparking conflicts at various levels. In Colombia, polarization has played a critical role in shaping recent history—for instance, the narrow victory of the “No” vote (50.2%) over the “Yes” vote (49.8%) in the 2016 referendum on the Peace Accord with the FARC marked a turning point in national political division.
Grounded in ongoing discussions around polarization and recent public debates on energy transition, CREER—together with the Ford Foundation and civil society organizations from Brazil and Indonesia—has been investigating the characteristics and potential interconnections between these two phenomena.
In September 2023, the event “Polarization in the Energy Transition and Climate Change: Colombia, Brazil, and Indonesia,” held at the Center for Arts, Humanities and Letters at the Federal University of Recôncavo Baiano in Cachoeira, Brazil, showcased the progress of collaborative work across the three countries. As part of the Global Initiative on Polarization, this dialogue explored narratives, practices, risks, and impacts related to the polarization that can emerge from energy transition projects (e.g., the renewable energy boom, coal mine closures, and the critical minerals agenda). Key discussions focused on tensions between global and local decarbonization agendas, just energy transition, and climate change, as well as the methodologies used to understand, engage with, and influence polarization in these distinct national contexts—paying particular attention to economic structures, inequality, and marginalized populations affected by these transitions.
In this and other spaces, CREER has shared its ongoing work on energy transition and territorial transformation, informed by its experience in La Guajira and Cesar. In these regions, CREER has been implementing an innovative methodological approach that integrates human rights analysis, social justice, polarization, and (just) energy transition in economies heavily dependent on coal. As part of these efforts, preliminary findings were presented from 575 surveys conducted in the region, which examined relationships between media consumption (including misinformation), political stances, civic participation, knowledge of the energy transition, and polarization. This was complemented by a discourse analysis of the energy transition narratives of the last two national administrations, based on a review of 956 news articles.
The event concluded with a field visit to Campo Formoso, a city home to quilombola communities and Afro-Brazilian religious groups, where local conflicts have arisen due to the expansion of wind farms. This space provided an opportunity to reflect on the human rights impacts of wind energy—an area in which CREER is advancing efforts toward a comprehensive Human Rights Impact Sectoral Assessment (EISI). This initiative views the renewable energy agenda in Colombia’s Caribbean region as a central pillar of the country’s energy transition strategy and a potential focal point for studying polarization.